CORD, Jubilee and Pambazuka are Alliances of exclusion… here’s the math
Ask any politician right now why they are forming alliance before the March 4th general elections and they will tell you that theirs is a political calculation that shows that no single party is going to marshal the 50 plus one per cent of total votes to get into state house next year.
Political parties had to wait until the last minute before striking deals with “friendly parties” signified by some ink that bound an agreement on a piece of paper under the custody of the registrar of political parties.
True enough, many references have been made to the revolutionary coalition of Narc that swept KANU out of power in 2002. In the eyes of those raising these memories, the rebirth of the nation will happen in a wave as well in 2013.
But what no one is saying is that in 2002, there were not as many political coalitions as we have today. Before the collective realisation that coalitions were in fashion, all the 14 presidential candidates were busy making assertions of their influence as national leaders. Now, it has turned into an ugly battle of tribal numbers and whether or not the arithmetic adds up.
The alliances that have been formed so far include CORD (ODM, Wiper and Ford Kenya), Pambazuka (Kaddu Asili, New Vision Party, New Ford Kenya, Shirikisho party and federal party) and Jubilee (The National Alliance, United Republican Party and United Democratic Forum).
What the maths professors won’t tell you is that CORD is about the Luo, Kamba, a section of the Luhyia and some random tribes that are being carried along for convenience if anything. Jubilee is a combination of the Kikuyu, Kalenjin and a section of the Luhyia with other ethnic groups getting a mention of course.
When it comes to Pambazuka, no one knows exactly what is going on there because the mainstream media is too busy figuring out the arithmetic concerned with the first two predominant CORD and Jubilee alliances. However, they can be described as a cross section of small vested interests that always bring politicians in the land together at such times.
What worries some is that of all the alliances that have been formed, minority tribes have not been factored in; at least in as far as inclusion in the alliances is concerned. The people who always hold executive power since independence have predominantly been drawn from specific communities only. I now realise that it is the inconvenient baggage that comes with democracy, because as they say the minority have their say but the majority have their way.
It is similar to that bullying that happens in schools where the older kids expect the younger and physically inadequate counterparts to only be seen but never heard. It is the same thing that informs the enforcement of rights for the poor and the rich.
It will just never be the same. So, people from the coast, north eastern and other discredited enclaves should do what the other categories of side-lined people of the world do. Look to be the wealth creators by all means possible in order to control the one thing that is not dependent on communal numbers.
Besides, aren’t the geeks the ones who end up owning sporting franchises the world over after a lifetime of being told they are not physically able to play; and the most successful stories told from the most abject of poverty levels?
In the meantime, we must still ask, where are the minority tribes that form all the 42 tribes that Kenyans so fondly refer to?